Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.5% vs Bozak 46.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 71.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 65.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 62.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Kuraly
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kuraly
Bozak
Last 5: Kuraly 2-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Kuraly
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (982)
46.7% (338)
+5.6%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
50.0% (6)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (245)
32.6% (43)
+6.6%
On power play, Bozak has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Kuraly shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Bozak
Home
50.3% (680)
47.9% (194)
Away
48.5% (590)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Kuraly
Bozak
P1
49.5%
40.2%
P2
49.6%
51.4%
P3
49.0%
43.1%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |