Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Kuraly wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.3% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 82.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 83.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Kuraly
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Kuraly
Bozak
Last 10: Kuraly 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
4
Kuraly
Bozak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
5
3
Kuraly
Bozak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
Kuraly
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (5,141)
53.7% (9,596)
-2.2%
Power Play
56.0% (100)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,086)
48.0% (1,094)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Kuraly shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Bozak
Home
51.9% (3,187)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.7% (3,141)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Kuraly
Bozak
P1
51.1%
53.2%
P2
49.9%
52.8%
P3
50.0%
54.5%
OT
52.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |