Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.1% vs Johnston 48.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 78.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 64.0%
Neutral zone
Johnston 53.4%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 78.0%
22.0%
78.0%
Kuraly
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kuraly
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Kuraly
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (444)
47.8% (623)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (150)
51.4% (35)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Kuraly shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Johnston
Home
54.6% (304)
47.6% (351)
Away
45.5% (290)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Kuraly
Johnston
P1
55.2%
49.6%
P2
45.7%
47.3%
P3
49.5%
48.0%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |