Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 53.1%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.3% vs Monahan 52.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 65.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 62.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 50.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Jenner
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Jenner
Monahan
Last 7: Jenner 1-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Jenner
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Jenner
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (851)
51.5% (641)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.0% (202)
62.8% (129)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (145)
33.3% (9)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Jenner shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Jenner
Monahan
Home
53.2% (609)
53.9% (362)
Away
54.0% (589)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Jenner
Monahan
P1
49.7%
48.0%
P2
53.6%
57.0%
P3
56.5%
54.1%
OT
65.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |