Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Monahan 52.8% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 84.3%
Defensive zone
Point 72.9%
Neutral zone
Point 75.7%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Point
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Point
Monahan
Last 10: Point 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Point
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
6
Point
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Point
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
53.2% (823)
-7.0%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
55.3% (159)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
48.4% (95)
-28.4%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Point
Monahan
Home
46.9% (243)
54.6% (529)
Away
46.4% (302)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Point
Monahan
P1
46.2%
49.0%
P2
45.9%
55.4%
P3
48.9%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
46.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |