Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Monahan 52.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 57.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 62.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 60.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Howden
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Howden
Monahan
Last 6: Howden 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Howden
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Howden
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
53.2% (823)
-2.8%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
55.3% (159)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
48.4% (95)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Howden shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Howden
Monahan
Home
47.7% (195)
54.6% (529)
Away
52.8% (233)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Howden
Monahan
P1
51.1%
49.0%
P2
52.6%
55.4%
P3
48.8%
53.6%
OT
33.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |