Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 86.3%
Defensive zone
Giroux 92.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 72.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Giroux
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Giroux
Monahan
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
2
Giroux
Monahan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
53.2% (823)
+7.1%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
55.3% (159)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
48.4% (95)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Giroux
Monahan
Home
65.9% (337)
54.6% (529)
Away
59.1% (318)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Giroux
Monahan
P1
62.1%
49.0%
P2
64.5%
55.4%
P3
60.9%
53.6%
OT
70.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
60.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |