Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Monahan 54.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 61.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 63.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Giroux
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Giroux
Monahan
Last 10: Giroux 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
5
Giroux
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Giroux
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Giroux
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
57.1% (871)
-1.6%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
53.1% (262)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
44.6% (139)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Giroux
Monahan
Home
59.0% (576)
55.3% (644)
Away
56.9% (576)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Giroux
Monahan
P1
57.0%
53.9%
P2
58.1%
55.3%
P3
58.9%
54.4%
OT
52.9%
76.5%
Final 5 min
61.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
58.0%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |