Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundeström wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.3% vs Monahan 54.5% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 71.9%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 85.2%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 78.8%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Lundeström
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Lundeström
Monahan
Last 5: Lundeström 0-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
5
Lundeström
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (278)
57.1% (871)
-9.3%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
53.1% (262)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (92)
44.6% (139)
-9.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lundeström is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Lundeström shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Monahan
Home
46.3% (190)
55.3% (644)
Away
41.8% (196)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Lundeström
Monahan
P1
40.2%
53.9%
P2
44.3%
55.3%
P3
47.4%
54.4%
Final 5 min
37.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |