Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwartz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schwartz wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwartz 48.8% vs Monahan 51.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 65.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 62.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 65.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Schwartz
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Schwartz
Monahan
Last 6: Schwartz 6-0 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
3
0
Schwartz
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
3
0
Schwartz
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwartz
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (101)
50.2% (1,117)
-0.7%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
55.5% (283)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
56.8% (44)
-6.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schwartz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Schwartz shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Schwartz
Monahan
Home
51.4% (72)
50.1% (731)
Away
44.1% (68)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Schwartz
Monahan
P1
48.6%
51.3%
P2
47.7%
50.3%
P3
47.3%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
47.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | OT | 02:57 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Jaden Schwartz |