Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 42.9% vs Monahan 49.3% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 86.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 65.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 70.1%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Draisaitl
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Draisaitl
Monahan
Last 7: Draisaitl 1-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Draisaitl
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Draisaitl
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (270)
49.0% (1,435)
-7.5%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
50.2% (281)
-14.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Draisaitl is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Draisaitl shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Monahan
Home
45.1% (164)
51.2% (936)
Away
35.8% (151)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Draisaitl
Monahan
P1
48.1%
48.8%
P2
34.8%
48.9%
P3
39.4%
50.2%
Final 5 min
33.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
40.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |