Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 50.3% vs Monahan 51.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 62.0%
Defensive zone
Frost 56.9%
Neutral zone
Frost 60.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Frost
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Frost
Monahan
Last 10: Frost 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
4
3
Frost
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
13
Frost
Monahan
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Frost
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (3,598)
51.1% (11,356)
-1.7%
Power Play
55.5% (625)
53.7% (2,580)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
46.0% (766)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Frost shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Frost
Monahan
Home
51.0% (2,047)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
49.7% (2,212)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Frost
Monahan
P1
50.8%
50.9%
P2
51.1%
51.7%
P3
48.5%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |