Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stastny wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Monahan 51.4% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 80.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 50.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 67.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Stastny
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Stastny
Monahan
Last 10: Stastny 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Stastny
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stastny
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Stastny
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (1,004)
50.2% (1,117)
+5.2%
Power Play
59.0% (210)
55.5% (283)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (196)
56.8% (44)
-2.7%
On even strength, Stastny has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Stastny shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Stastny
Monahan
Home
56.5% (717)
50.1% (731)
Away
55.0% (693)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Stastny
Monahan
P1
56.7%
51.3%
P2
57.7%
50.3%
P3
52.1%
53.1%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
59.1%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |