Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rakell wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 47.1% vs Monahan 49.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Rakell leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 78.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 79.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 67.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
Rakell
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Rakell
Monahan
Last 10: Rakell 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rakell
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
5
1
Rakell
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
3
0
Rakell
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (608)
49.0% (1,435)
-2.8%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
50.2% (281)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.9% (114)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Rakell is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Rakell shoots right. Monahan is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (746).
Home / Away
Rakell
Monahan
Home
49.3% (335)
51.2% (936)
Away
43.9% (330)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Rakell
Monahan
P1
46.8%
48.8%
P2
45.0%
48.9%
P3
48.2%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
51.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
46.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |