Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansen wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Monahan 51.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 55.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 65.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 55.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Johansen
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Johansen
Monahan
Last 8: Johansen 7-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
1
Johansen
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
0
Johansen
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,149)
50.8% (723)
+3.9%
Power Play
49.7% (191)
53.3% (152)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
46.2% (13)
+1.7%
On even strength, Johansen has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Johansen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Johansen shoots right. Monahan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Johansen
Monahan
Home
52.5% (739)
52.5% (421)
Away
54.6% (722)
49.9% (467)
By Period
Johansen
Monahan
P1
53.8%
51.4%
P2
55.8%
52.3%
P3
51.2%
50.2%
OT
52.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |