Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Reinhart wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 43.9% vs Monahan 51.4% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 74.8%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 61.3%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 53.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Reinhart
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Reinhart
Monahan
Last 6: Reinhart 3-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Reinhart
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
1
Reinhart
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (192)
50.2% (1,117)
-10.6%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
55.5% (283)
+0.1%
On even strength, Monahan has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Reinhart is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Reinhart shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Monahan
Home
38.5% (109)
50.1% (731)
Away
43.6% (101)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Reinhart
Monahan
P1
32.9%
51.3%
P2
48.5%
50.3%
P3
42.4%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
40.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |