Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Pinto 50.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 68.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 69.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.5%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Monahan
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Monahan
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Monahan
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (823)
50.2% (520)
+3.0%
Power Play
55.3% (159)
68.0% (25)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (95)
49.4% (89)
-1.0%
On power play, Pinto has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Monahan shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Monahan
Pinto
Home
54.6% (529)
48.8% (301)
Away
51.6% (548)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Monahan
Pinto
P1
49.0%
51.2%
P2
55.4%
48.9%
P3
53.6%
53.3%
OT
61.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |