Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Monahan wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.4% vs Pinto 50.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 84.8%
Defensive zone
Pinto 51.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 73.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Monahan
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Monahan
Pinto
Last 10: Monahan 7-3 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
6
1
Monahan
Pinto
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
4
Monahan
Pinto
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
0
Monahan
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (853)
50.4% (779)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.6% (174)
55.2% (29)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (144)
44.9% (78)
+1.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Monahan shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Monahan
Pinto
Home
53.4% (624)
52.4% (454)
Away
51.7% (547)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Monahan
Pinto
P1
53.7%
48.1%
P2
52.4%
52.9%
P3
51.6%
49.3%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |