Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Monahan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 54.5% vs Pinto 50.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 79.2%
Defensive zone
Pinto 76.3%
Neutral zone
Pinto 75.8%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Monahan
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Monahan
Pinto
Last 7: Monahan 1-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Monahan
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Monahan
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Monahan
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (871)
51.2% (463)
+5.9%
Power Play
53.1% (262)
50.0% (14)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (139)
36.8% (19)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Monahan shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Monahan
Pinto
Home
55.3% (644)
52.2% (205)
Away
54.5% (628)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Monahan
Pinto
P1
53.9%
48.7%
P2
55.3%
51.8%
P3
54.4%
51.2%
OT
76.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |