Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Monahan wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Crosby 55.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 80.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 66.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Monahan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Monahan
Crosby
Last 10: Monahan 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
6
Monahan
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Monahan
Crosby
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
6
Monahan
Crosby
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (823)
53.7% (984)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.3% (159)
64.7% (241)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (95)
64.3% (14)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Monahan shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Monahan
Crosby
Home
54.6% (529)
56.9% (649)
Away
51.6% (548)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Monahan
Crosby
P1
49.0%
55.8%
P2
55.4%
53.2%
P3
53.6%
58.7%
OT
61.9%
54.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 02:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |