Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 52.4%). Monahan wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Crosby 52.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 50.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 57.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Monahan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Monahan
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Monahan
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Monahan
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (641)
50.8% (1,169)
+0.7%
Power Play
62.8% (129)
60.2% (261)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
45.0% (20)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Monahan shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Monahan
Crosby
Home
53.9% (362)
53.2% (726)
Away
52.5% (417)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Monahan
Crosby
P1
48.0%
51.3%
P2
57.0%
52.1%
P3
54.1%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |