Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 75-49 in 124 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 71.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 71.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 72.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Monahan
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
75
(124 meetings)
49
75
Monahan
Crosby
Last 10: Monahan 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
8
30
Monahan
Crosby
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
20
26
Monahan
Crosby
46 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
21
19
Monahan
Crosby
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,356)
52.8% (17,990)
-1.7%
Power Play
53.7% (2,580)
57.4% (4,733)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (766)
47.1% (765)
-1.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Monahan shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Monahan
Crosby
Home
52.4% (7,358)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
50.2% (7,344)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Monahan
Crosby
P1
50.9%
53.6%
P2
51.7%
53.9%
P3
51.0%
53.3%
OT
53.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 02:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |