Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.4% vs Novak 45.0% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 55.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 58.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Monahan
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (853)
42.9% (198)
+9.5%
Power Play
58.6% (174)
40.9% (22)
+17.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Monahan shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Monahan
Novak
Home
53.4% (624)
40.9% (110)
Away
51.7% (547)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Monahan
Novak
P1
53.7%
39.1%
P2
52.4%
43.9%
P3
51.6%
44.9%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%