Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.6%). Monahan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Seguin 52.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 52.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 55.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Monahan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Monahan
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Monahan
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (823)
53.2% (201)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.3% (159)
60.0% (25)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (95)
44.4% (9)
+4.0%
On power play, Seguin has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Monahan shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Monahan
Seguin
Home
54.6% (529)
56.3% (126)
Away
51.6% (548)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Monahan
Seguin
P1
49.0%
44.3%
P2
55.4%
52.1%
P3
53.6%
62.5%
OT
61.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |