Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 53.9% vs Seguin 54.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 64.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Monahan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Monahan
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Monahan
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Monahan
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (231)
55.0% (713)
-0.5%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
56.7% (104)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
47.2% (53)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Monahan shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Monahan
Seguin
Home
53.5% (144)
56.2% (443)
Away
56.5% (177)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Monahan
Seguin
P1
52.5%
54.2%
P2
50.9%
52.9%
P3
60.8%
57.1%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
55.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |