Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 33 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 51-35 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 67.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Monahan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
51
(86 meetings)
35
51
Monahan
Seguin
Last 10: Monahan 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
16
14
Monahan
Seguin
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
9
24
Monahan
Seguin
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
10
13
Monahan
Seguin
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,356)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.6%
Power Play
53.7% (2,580)
55.9% (810)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (766)
49.3% (762)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Monahan shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Monahan
Seguin
Home
52.4% (7,358)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
50.2% (7,344)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Monahan
Seguin
P1
50.9%
52.8%
P2
51.7%
53.3%
P3
51.0%
54.7%
OT
53.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |