Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.0% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 81.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 58.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Monahan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Monahan
Seguin
Last 10: Monahan 1-9 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
0
Monahan
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
6
Monahan
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Monahan
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (723)
53.9% (996)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
56.4% (94)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
52.1% (165)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Monahan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Monahan shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Monahan
Seguin
Home
52.5% (421)
55.9% (633)
Away
49.9% (467)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Monahan
Seguin
P1
51.4%
55.8%
P2
52.3%
51.7%
P3
50.2%
54.5%
OT
35.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |