Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Monahan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 60.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 64.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Monahan
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Monahan
Trocheck
Last 10: Monahan 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
6
Monahan
Trocheck
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
3
Monahan
Trocheck
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
1
Monahan
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (823)
57.8% (626)
-4.6%
Power Play
55.3% (159)
63.6% (151)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (95)
44.0% (141)
+4.4%
On power play, Trocheck has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Monahan shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Monahan
Trocheck
Home
54.6% (529)
54.4% (390)
Away
51.6% (548)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Monahan
Trocheck
P1
49.0%
56.4%
P2
55.4%
58.7%
P3
53.6%
54.8%
OT
61.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |