Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Monahan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 54.5% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 67.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 63.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Monahan
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Monahan
Trocheck
Last 10: Monahan 3-7 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
6
Monahan
Trocheck
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Monahan
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Monahan
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (871)
57.6% (1,061)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.1% (262)
65.1% (338)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (139)
49.5% (101)
-4.9%
On power play, Trocheck has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Monahan shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Monahan
Trocheck
Home
55.3% (644)
61.8% (735)
Away
54.5% (628)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Monahan
Trocheck
P1
53.9%
57.7%
P2
55.3%
57.9%
P3
54.4%
60.4%
OT
76.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OT | 00:20 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |