Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 71.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 62.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 59.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Monahan
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Monahan
Trocheck
Last 7: Monahan 3-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
0
Monahan
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
4
Monahan
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (641)
54.3% (955)
-2.8%
Power Play
62.8% (129)
64.6% (96)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
51.0% (194)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Monahan shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Monahan
Trocheck
Home
53.9% (362)
58.3% (604)
Away
52.5% (417)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Monahan
Trocheck
P1
48.0%
53.9%
P2
57.0%
55.7%
P3
54.1%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |