Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.8%). Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.0% vs Trocheck 51.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.7%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 60.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 61.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Monahan
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Monahan
Trocheck
Last 6: Monahan 1-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Monahan
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Monahan
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Monahan
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (723)
50.8% (783)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
60.0% (95)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
51.8% (83)
-5.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Monahan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Monahan shoots left. Trocheck is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Monahan
Trocheck
Home
52.5% (421)
54.9% (506)
Away
49.9% (467)
48.4% (455)
By Period
Monahan
Trocheck
P1
51.4%
52.3%
P2
52.3%
50.8%
P3
50.2%
52.7%
OT
35.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2019 | OT | 04:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |