Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Trenin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Monahan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 54.5% vs Trenin 46.6% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 60.6%
Defensive zone
Trenin 74.0%
Neutral zone
Trenin 59.6%
Result
Yakov Trenin favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Monahan
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Monahan
Trenin
Last 5: Monahan 2-3 Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Monahan
Trenin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
1
2
Monahan
Trenin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (871)
46.5% (144)
+10.6%
Power Play
53.1% (262)
50.0% (2)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (139)
41.9% (74)
+2.7%
On even strength, Monahan has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Monahan shoots left. Trenin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Monahan
Trenin
Home
55.3% (644)
45.7% (129)
Away
54.5% (628)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Monahan
Trenin
P1
53.9%
47.5%
P2
55.3%
52.6%
P3
54.4%
32.3%
Final 5 min
55.9%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |