Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Trenin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.3% vs Trenin 43.6% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 71.7%
Defensive zone
Trenin 72.9%
Neutral zone
Trenin 53.0%
Result
Yakov Trenin favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Monahan
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Monahan
Trenin
Last 7: Monahan 3-4 Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
1
2
Monahan
Trenin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Monahan
Trenin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,356)
42.8% (355)
+8.3%
Power Play
53.7% (2,580)
33.3% (6)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (766)
41.0% (105)
+5.0%
On power play, Monahan has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Monahan shoots left. Trenin is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Monahan
Trenin
Home
52.4% (7,358)
45.6% (248)
Away
50.2% (7,344)
38.5% (218)
By Period
Monahan
Trenin
P1
50.9%
42.4%
P2
51.7%
47.7%
P3
51.0%
35.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |