Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Aho 53.8% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Bedard
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bedard
Aho
Last 6: Bedard 4-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
51.2% (785)
-12.3%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
63.8% (213)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
57.9% (57)
-32.9%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Bedard
Aho
Home
40.2% (246)
54.9% (548)
Away
37.8% (286)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Bedard
Aho
P1
39.9%
52.8%
P2
38.5%
58.9%
P3
39.0%
50.6%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
38.9%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |