Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.7% vs 46.0%). Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.6% vs Aho 46.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 66.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 76.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Rodrigues
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Rodrigues
Aho
Last 7: Rodrigues 5-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Rodrigues
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (224)
46.2% (744)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
44.6% (112)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
45.5% (33)
+2.5%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Rodrigues is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Rodrigues shoots right. Aho is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Aho
Home
46.2% (130)
46.7% (445)
Away
47.2% (127)
45.3% (444)
By Period
Rodrigues
Aho
P1
50.0%
48.1%
P2
46.8%
44.9%
P3
43.2%
45.8%
OT
33.3%
12.5%
Final 5 min
62.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 14, 2019 | OT | 02:10 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 14, 2019 | OT | 00:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |