Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Aho 54.9% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 88.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 53.4%
Neutral zone
Aho 77.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Eichel
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Eichel
Aho
Last 10: Eichel 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Eichel
Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
0
Eichel
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Eichel
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
54.5% (870)
-8.6%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
62.4% (266)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
37.1% (62)
+2.6%
On even strength, Aho has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Eichel
Aho
Home
46.5% (606)
53.9% (603)
Away
44.8% (648)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Eichel
Aho
P1
47.2%
54.1%
P2
46.9%
55.0%
P3
42.7%
57.4%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |