Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.0%). Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Aho 50.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 55.4%
Defensive zone
Rossi 75.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 67.4%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Rossi
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Rossi
Aho
Last 10: Rossi 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
2
Rossi
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
4
1
Rossi
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
49.9% (851)
+2.9%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
53.5% (144)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
43.3% (60)
-6.3%
On power play, Aho has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Rossi shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Rossi
Aho
Home
50.0% (242)
53.2% (554)
Away
51.1% (221)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Rossi
Aho
P1
54.9%
49.1%
P2
48.7%
50.8%
P3
47.9%
49.7%
OT
40.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
45.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:29 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |