Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 49.4% vs Aho 52.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 80.3%
Defensive zone
Suter 51.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 60.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Suter
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Suter
Aho
Last 5: Suter 4-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
0
Suter
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
3
1
Suter
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (840)
51.6% (819)
-1.8%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
58.4% (173)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (96)
46.3% (67)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Suter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Suter shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Suter
Aho
Home
49.8% (502)
53.9% (568)
Away
48.8% (502)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Suter
Aho
P1
46.7%
55.4%
P2
51.7%
51.2%
P3
48.9%
50.9%
OT
63.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
49.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |