Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.8%). Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Aho wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.0% vs Pinto 50.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 82.3%
Defensive zone
Pinto 71.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 59.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Aho
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Aho
Pinto
Last 6: Aho 1-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Aho
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Aho
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Aho
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (851)
50.2% (520)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.5% (144)
68.0% (25)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (60)
49.4% (89)
-6.1%
On power play, Pinto has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Aho shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Aho
Pinto
Home
53.2% (554)
48.8% (301)
Away
46.5% (501)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Aho
Pinto
P1
49.1%
51.2%
P2
50.8%
48.9%
P3
49.7%
53.3%
OT
58.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |