Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.2% vs Pinto 50.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 77.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 80.0%
Neutral zone
Pinto 55.5%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Aho
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Aho
Pinto
Last 10: Aho 2-8 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
4
5
Aho
Pinto
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
6
Aho
Pinto
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
5
4
Aho
Pinto
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,619)
50.6% (2,716)
-0.5%
Power Play
58.9% (1,310)
54.4% (90)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (464)
44.9% (234)
+1.4%
On power play, Aho has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Aho shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
Aho
Pinto
Home
52.4% (4,308)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
50.1% (4,085)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Aho
Pinto
P1
51.1%
48.3%
P2
52.0%
51.7%
P3
50.7%
50.9%
OT
48.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |