Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.0% vs Crosby 55.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 90.2%
Defensive zone
Aho 81.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 81.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Aho
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
19
(28 meetings)
9
19
Aho
Crosby
Last 10: Aho 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
6
Aho
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
7
Aho
Crosby
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
6
Aho
Crosby
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (851)
53.7% (984)
-3.8%
Power Play
53.5% (144)
64.7% (241)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (60)
64.3% (14)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Aho shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Aho
Crosby
Home
53.2% (554)
56.9% (649)
Away
46.5% (501)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Aho
Crosby
P1
49.1%
55.8%
P2
50.8%
53.2%
P3
49.7%
58.7%
OT
58.8%
54.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |