Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.1% vs Crosby 55.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 87.3%
Defensive zone
Aho 77.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 77.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Aho
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Aho
Crosby
Last 10: Aho 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
6
Aho
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Aho
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Aho
Crosby
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (833)
53.5% (961)
-3.6%
Power Play
54.2% (142)
64.1% (237)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (60)
64.3% (14)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Aho is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Aho shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Aho
Crosby
Home
53.2% (554)
56.4% (622)
Away
46.6% (481)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Aho
Crosby
P1
49.7%
56.0%
P2
50.7%
52.6%
P3
49.5%
58.3%
OT
58.8%
54.2%
Final 5 min
49.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
36.0%▼
47.0%
50.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |