Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.4% vs Crosby 55.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 65.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 60.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 62.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Aho
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Aho
Crosby
Last 10: Aho 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
5
Aho
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Aho
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Aho
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (647)
53.2% (877)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
63.8% (210)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (42)
64.3% (14)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Aho shoots left. Crosby is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Aho
Crosby
Home
53.9% (445)
56.4% (578)
Away
46.4% (375)
54.3% (523)
By Period
Aho
Crosby
P1
48.7%
57.0%
P2
51.4%
51.4%
P3
50.8%
57.9%
OT
58.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |