Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Aho wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 54.9% vs Crosby 56.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 66.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 68.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 68.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Aho
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Aho
Crosby
Last 10: Aho 8-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
6
Aho
Crosby
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
4
0
Aho
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
3
2
Aho
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (870)
56.2% (1,451)
-1.7%
Power Play
62.4% (266)
61.4% (293)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
55.3% (38)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Aho shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Aho
Crosby
Home
53.9% (603)
59.1% (939)
Away
56.8% (595)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Aho
Crosby
P1
54.1%
54.9%
P2
55.0%
60.8%
P3
57.4%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
55.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | OT | 00:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |