Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings). Aho wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 53.8% vs Crosby 57.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 29-24 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 62.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 59.7%
Neutral zone
Aho 60.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Aho
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
29
(53 meetings)
24
29
Aho
Crosby
Last 10: Aho 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
9
10
Aho
Crosby
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
8
9
Aho
Crosby
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
10
Aho
Crosby
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (785)
57.8% (1,437)
-6.6%
Power Play
63.8% (213)
60.9% (381)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (57)
50.0% (54)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Aho shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Aho
Crosby
Home
54.9% (548)
59.2% (985)
Away
53.3% (507)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Aho
Crosby
P1
52.8%
57.3%
P2
58.9%
59.5%
P3
50.6%
58.5%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |