Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Aho wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 53.8% vs Stützle 47.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 90.3%
Defensive zone
Aho 51.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 70.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Aho
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Aho
Stützle
Last 5: Aho 4-1 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
1
Aho
Stützle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
0
Aho
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (785)
45.3% (468)
+5.9%
Power Play
63.8% (213)
62.5% (24)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (57)
60.0% (20)
-2.1%
On even strength, Aho has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Aho shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Aho
Stützle
Home
54.9% (548)
46.3% (270)
Away
53.3% (507)
47.1% (242)
By Period
Aho
Stützle
P1
52.8%
46.1%
P2
58.9%
45.8%
P3
50.6%
48.2%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |