Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.3% vs Stützle 45.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 75.8%
Defensive zone
Aho 54.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 61.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Aho
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Aho
Stützle
Last 10: Aho 6-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
1
Aho
Stützle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Aho
Stützle
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Aho
Stützle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,415)
44.9% (2,219)
+5.2%
Power Play
59.1% (1,297)
56.0% (84)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (446)
48.8% (82)
-2.8%
On even strength, Aho has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Aho is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,145).
Aho shoots left. Stützle is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,415).
Home / Away
Aho
Stützle
Home
52.4% (4,199)
47.4% (1,244)
Away
50.2% (3,959)
43.2% (1,141)
By Period
Aho
Stützle
P1
51.2%
46.9%
P2
52.1%
45.1%
P3
50.8%
44.1%
OT
48.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Stützle
46.0%▼
52.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |