Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.2% vs Stützle 45.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 76.2%
Defensive zone
Aho 53.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 60.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Aho
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Aho
Stützle
Last 10: Aho 7-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
2
Aho
Stützle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Aho
Stützle
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
5
4
Aho
Stützle
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,619)
45.1% (2,292)
+5.0%
Power Play
58.9% (1,310)
55.4% (101)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (464)
47.7% (86)
-1.4%
On even strength, Aho has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Aho shoots left. Stützle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,489).
Home / Away
Aho
Stützle
Home
52.4% (4,308)
47.7% (1,282)
Away
50.1% (4,085)
43.4% (1,197)
By Period
Aho
Stützle
P1
51.1%
47.1%
P2
52.0%
45.4%
P3
50.7%
44.1%
OT
48.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |