Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.4% vs Novak 44.9% (+7.8%)
Offensive zone
Novak 53.8%
Defensive zone
Aho 55.7%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Aho
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (647)
41.7% (206)
+8.8%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
52.6% (19)
+1.6%
On even strength, Aho has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Aho shoots left. Novak is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Aho
Novak
Home
53.9% (445)
44.9% (118)
Away
46.4% (375)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Aho
Novak
P1
48.7%
41.5%
P2
51.4%
44.0%
P3
50.8%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%