Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Aho wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 53.8% vs Zegras 43.3% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Aho
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Aho
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
0
Aho
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Aho
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (785)
39.8% (128)
+11.4%
Power Play
63.8% (213)
22.2% (9)
+41.6%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (57)
0.0% (1)
+57.9%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Aho shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Aho
Zegras
Home
54.9% (548)
29.7% (74)
Away
53.3% (507)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Aho
Zegras
P1
52.8%
40.7%
P2
58.9%
35.1%
P3
50.6%
41.0%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |