Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Aho wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 54.9% vs Kozak 47.8% (+9.1%)
Offensive zone
Aho 73.4%
Defensive zone
Kozak 72.4%
Neutral zone
Kozak 52.0%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Aho
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (870)
46.0% (137)
+8.5%
Power Play
62.4% (266)
66.7% (3)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
40.0% (5)
-2.9%
On even strength, Aho has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Aho shoots left. Kozak is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Aho
Kozak
Home
53.9% (603)
51.2% (84)
Away
56.8% (595)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Aho
Kozak
P1
54.1%
57.1%
P2
55.0%
34.7%
P3
57.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
55.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%