Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Jarvis 45.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 81.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 67.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 83.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Cirelli
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Cirelli
Jarvis
Last 10: Cirelli 8-2 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cirelli
Jarvis
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
7
0
Cirelli
Jarvis
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Jarvis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
46.2% (171)
+4.7%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
51.9% (54)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
39.4% (127)
+4.6%
On power play, Jarvis has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Cirelli is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Cirelli shoots left. Jarvis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Jarvis
Home
50.6% (494)
46.1% (204)
Away
47.6% (441)
42.6% (148)
By Period
Cirelli
Jarvis
P1
52.3%
42.5%
P2
45.4%
42.9%
P3
49.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.2%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |