Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 43.3% vs Jarvis 42.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 53.4%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 53.2%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 53.1%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Reinhart
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Reinhart
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
1
Reinhart
Jarvis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reinhart
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (2,173)
42.0% (352)
+0.5%
Power Play
46.5% (525)
43.7% (119)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (339)
38.2% (157)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Reinhart is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (754).
Reinhart shoots right. Jarvis is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Jarvis
Home
44.9% (1,528)
43.8% (336)
Away
41.2% (1,509)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Reinhart
Jarvis
P1
44.5%
39.7%
P2
40.5%
39.5%
P3
44.5%
46.1%
OT
43.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.1%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |